Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About CDL Investments New Zealand Limited (NZSE:CDI)?
Posted On August 9, 2022
It is hard to get excited after looking at CDL Investments New Zealand’s (NZSE:CDI) recent performance, when its stock has declined 15% over the past three months. However, the company’s fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. In this article, we decided to focus on CDL Investments New Zealand’s ROE.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder’s equity.
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CDL Investments New Zealand is:
11% = NZ$31m ÷ NZ$286m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).
The ‘return’ is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every NZ$1 of its shareholder’s investments, the company generates a profit of NZ$0.11.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company’s future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or “retain”, we are then able to evaluate a company’s future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don’t necessarily bear these characteristics.
CDL Investments New Zealand’s Earnings Growth And 11% ROE
At first glance, CDL Investments New Zealand seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company’s ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.3%. However, we are curious as to how the high returns still resulted in flat growth for CDL Investments New Zealand in the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven’t been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company’s growth. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.
We then compared CDL Investments New Zealand’s net income growth with the industry and found that the company’s growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 6.2% in the same period, which is a bit concerning.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock’s future looks promising or ominous. If you’re wondering about CDL Investments New Zealand’s’s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
Is CDL Investments New Zealand Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 30% (or a retention ratio of 70%), CDL Investments New Zealand hasn’t seen much growth in its earnings. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.
Moreover, CDL Investments New Zealand has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.
On the whole, we do feel that CDL Investments New Zealand has some positive attributes. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that’s preventing growth. Up till now, we’ve only made a short study of the company’s growth data. You can do your own research on CDL Investments New Zealand and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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